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Buying futures at the gas pump

One of the local television Play-Nooz programs reports on MyGallons.com, an online membership plan wherein you can buy gasoline in bulk at today’s rates and pump the fuel later, when everyone else is paying more per gallon. You buy a virtual stockpile of gasoline; then you draw it down at the pump with a debit card the company issues to you. Almost any gas station that takes a credit card is participating-there are more than 50 within five miles of my zip code.

On its face, it sounds like a good deal. Except of course you’re betting on the come: with your purchase you subscribe to the theory that gas prices will keep rising and never come down or even stabilize. And you pay $30 (or, if you don’t want a “refill” automatically charged to your credit card, $40) for the privilege. So just to make this pay for itself, you would have to save $30 or $40 on future gas purchases. That’s before you start actually saving money on gasoline itself.

Let’s say a week after you buy in, 10 gallons worth of gasoline rises from $4.05 (current price at Costco) to $4.55 a gallon. At that rate, your saving on the next 10-gallon fill-up is $5. You would have to buy six times that much to pay for the base $30 membership fee: 60 gallons. How long it would take you to break even, before you started to make a “profit,” would depend on how much driving you do in what kind of vehicle.

I drove 266 miles last week and bought 9.9 gallons of gas. So earning back the membership fee would take me six weeks…assuming the cost of gas jumps 50 cents a gallon and stays there. Only after the first six weeks, after I had consumed $60 worth of gas, would I start to see a real savings at the pump.

But…will that savings still be there in six weeks? Some observers think the gas price inflation is driven by yet another economic bubble, one of these days to burst. Others scoff at the very idea. So whether you buy in to buying futures with MyGallons.com depends on who you believe.

You pays yer money and you takes yer chances.