Coffee heat rising

Early practice for early retirement

Wow! I just figured out what the furlough means to my budget. My hourly pay is about $30 an hour: that’s $240 a day. If they make me take one unpaid day a week for the next 12 weeks, that’s a gross pay cut of $480 per paycheck or $960 a month. My net biweekly pay will drop from $1,537 to $1,215. That is less than my reduced budget for nonmonthly recurring bills (i.e., it’s less than I spend on groceries, household and yard products, gasoline, and nonrecurring bills such as the vet or the plumber).

furloughjpg

It’s less than I would earn if I retired, took Social Security and 4% of my savings after the Investment House mortgage, freelanced, and taught two sections of freshman comp at a community college.

yr1retirement

Now, there are some mitigating circumstances here.

First, that retirement net income doesn’t reflect the astonishing cost of Medicare, which, by the time you pay for Part D (the required prescription insurance that drops you into a “doughnut hole” if you get sick enough to really need a lot of medications) and the supplemental insurance needed to pick up the slack, comes to around $300 a month. Right now I pay $26 a month for a plan that covers everything, including the Mayo Clinic and prescriptions, with $10 or $20 copays. Because I’m not yet at Medicare age, if I quit now I’d have to take COBRA, which will cost $475 a month.

Second, the fact is that today we get our so-called “extra” biweekly paycheck. It can be prorated out over the next twelve weeks to help cover the shortfall. It means I won’t be able to use it as part of my emergency savings in case of layoff—which, frankly, I believe is a near certainty. However, it will help.

And third, we can claim unemployment for each furloughed day. That will be a HUGE hassle: you apparently have to fill out all the forms and jump through the hoops for every single claim. So it may not be worth the trouble. But it’s there.

Any way you look at it, the “golden years” of my life are going to be pretty gray. You can see from the above that the amount I will have to live on under the best of circumstances—working two part-time jobs—will be very limited. When I reach the age when I can no longer work, which won’t be many more years from now, I will be living in poverty. Even after we sell the Investment House and I can use the full 4% drawdown from my life savings, the numbers look like this:

ssprojection

I can’t even begin to imagine how I will live on that, with $300 (or, by then, more) taken out for Medicare.

Well, one good thing about this furlough business: starting today, I’m going to get some practice at living on it.

Does any of this have meaning for individuals?

Hard to tell, isn’t it?

I just checked my Vanguard funds. Though they lost a little, it’s not enough to drive one out the high-rise window. Doesn’t mean things won’t be worse tomorrow, of course…still, I think it’s best not to study the day-to-day rises and falls of your investments but to keep your eye on the long view.

A pretty murky view just now, it must be admitted.

This morning I spent almost five hours on the application for the new job; still have to write the cover letter.

And I wrote a set of spreadsheets preparatory to meeting with my financial advisor about how to deal with the coming layoff. I wanted to lay out all the relevant factoids: current gross & net pay, projected Social Security entitlement, cost of Cobra ($471 a month! Up from $25), estimated unemployment payments (amazingly piddling–possibly not even worth the hassle of applying), RASL (the amount GDU has to pay for my unused sick pay, an astonishing $17,230), and the estimated amount of my total savings.

Today I learned that GDU has to pay me my hourly rate for 264 hours of unused vacation time: something over $7900. That will help!

Not only that, but I’m also owed 32 hours of use-it-or-lose-it time, for which I will not be paid. So I think I’ll take four days of vacation time starting this week…and not think about GDU even once during the entire period!

With these figures in hand, I calculated several possible scenarios, ranging from retiring today to getting some sort of job. If I can’t get work (and at my age it’s unlikely), things are going to be difficult, indeed.

Oh, well. That’s a bridge to cross later. Maybe not much later…but later.

IMHO, the current stürm und drang will take a while to come home to you and me: not until we see our jobs disappear, credit dry up, and the huge chains that have pushed out local businesses close down—shrinking supplies of food and manufactured goods. That may take some time. With a large helping of luck, it’ll never happen.

What a sad spectacle our country’s grasping, small-minded, doctrinaire partisan politics have spawned. For shame!

The Continuing Saga…

1.Unemployment for Christmas?
2.Does any of this have meaning for individuals?
3.Rumors start to fly
4.On the trail of the elusive job
5.Beating the layoff stress
6. How low can I go?